Projecting The Offense – Part 1: Play Distribution and Pace

Courtesy iuhoosiers.com

Last season, I projected the 2016 offense’s statistical performance using the numbers from previous seasons and semi-educated assumptions on what the season would hold.  I found it to be useful exercise for setting reasonable expectations and in total, the projections weren’t too bad. For example, compare our Lagow projection to his actual regular season line:

This year, that project is a little more difficult, given the entirely new offensive coaching staff. While there’s certainly a greater element of guesswork involved, we’ll give it another try.

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PJP on Peegs

As some of you may have noticed yesterday, we’re doing some season preview posts over at peegs.com. If you have a subscription, we hope you’ll check them out. The content will be similar to what you’ve read here over the past few seasons. If you don’t have a subscription, (1) you should look into it. They regularly run sales and even if you can’t get it on a discount, the recruiting info alone (for basketball and football) is worth $10/month; (2) don’t worry, your regular PJP season preview content isn’t going anywhere. We are just trying to get our work out to a larger audience (maybe we should try writing about a college football team in a state that doesn’t hate bloggers more than anything else…)

Thanks for your continued support!

CHART WEEK – Part 5: Tackling and Run Defense

Courtesy AP

Today, in the final installment of CHART WEEK, we’ll take a look at the IU defense’s tackling and general performance against the run. As a reminder, we’ve aggregated our weekly Film Study charts for the full 2016 season, and each day this week, we will use a few of those charts to learn something about what happened in 2016 and what might happen in 2017. We’ve already covered the pass rush, passing offensepassing defense, and rushing offense.

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CHART WEEK – Part 4: Rushing Offense

Courtesy ESPN

More CHARTS! As a reminder, we’ve aggregated our weekly Film Study charts for the full 2016 season, and each day this week, we will use a few of those charts to learn something about what happened in 2016 and what might happen in 2017.

We’ve already covered the pass rush, passing offense, and passing defense.  We’ll cover the rushing offense today before CHARTING our way through tackling and rush defense tomorrow.

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