PJP Over/Under Game – Georgia Southern

Courtesy:The Herald Bulletin

We might need to review the definition of garbage time for this contest.  It is when the score difference is more than 28 points in the first quarter, 24 in the second, 21 in the third, or 16 in the fourth.

The reason we need to review it is this week’s game looks to be as big of mismatch that Indiana has played in quite some time.  Indiana opened as 21.5 point favorites against Gegoria Southern.

The former FCS powerhouse under current Georgia Tech head coach Paul Johnson won 2 FCS national championships in 1999 and 2000.  The Eagles jumped into the FBS going 9-3 in 2014.  A 9-5 record in 2015 raised the profile of coach Willie Fritz who headed to Tulane.  Things have fallen dramatically under Tyson Summers with an overall 5-9 record including 0-2 this year. Continue Reading

PJP Over/Under Recap – Virginia

Courtesy: The Daily Progress

We’re back with the Over/Under recap following Indiana’s first win of the season.

As a note, we’ve both been traveling this week so we may be a bit condensed or off our normal posting schedule.  But don’t worry, we’ll be to full nerd alert by the time the remaining Big Ten games start back up.

1. Donovan Hale targets – Over/Under 7.5 – Actual 3

After being targeted 14 times against Ohio State, Hale was targeted just 3 times, catching 2 passes for 49 yards and a touchdown.  On IU’s first drive, Richard Lagow targeted him on the first 2 Indiana passes of the game.  It would be 19 pass attempts before Hale would receive another target.  This one was from Peyton Ramsey on a 32 yard touchdown reception.

2. Indiana RB rushing success rate – Over/Under 40.5% – Actual 38.5%

It was a somewhat disappointing day for the Indiana ground game although there were some bright spots.  Mike Majette and Morgan Ellison alternated early with little success before Majette took over with 7 consecutive carries.  After Cole Gest and Majette shared duties, Ellison closed the game out by handling the last 9 running back carries.  Indiana was briefly over the 40.5% line, maxing at 43.5%, during the 4th quarter before 3 straight unsuccessful Ellison carries on the final IU drive.  Ellison had a 50% success rate on the day.

3. Largest lead for either team – Over/Under 14.5 – Actual 17

It would have been 24, but a targeting penalty by Greg Gooch negated a fumble recovery for a touchdown by Robert McCray.  Nevertheless, it was a mostly strong performance by Indiana in areas.  The Hoosiers head home to face FIU and Georgia Southern, both games that would require epic meltdowns to lose.

4. Virginia rushing yards excluding sacks and kneel-downs – Over/Under 109.5 – Actual 65

A week after being shredded by J.K. Dobbins, the IU defense shut down the Virginia running game.  The Cavaliers managed just 65 rushing yards on 24 carries, a 2.75 yard average.  While UVA was playing from behind in the 2nd half, IU’s tough run defense helped make Virginia very one dimensional.  Until their final drive, Virginia ran on just 6 of 41 second half plays.

5. Indiana turnovers gained – Over/Under 2.5 – Actual 0

In addition to the negated fumble recovery, Chase Dutra also lost an interception to a Marcelino Ball roughing the passer penalty.  The Hoosiers are one of 5 FBS teams without a turnover recovery.  In addition to Indiana, Florida State and Clemson have not recovered a turnover.  Another is IU’s opponent in two weeks, Georgia Southern.

For the complete, current standings, click here.

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WGOH Mismatch of the Week – Virginia

Courtesy; Indy Star

Following an exhilarating first half and an underwhelming second against the Ohio State Buckeyes, Indiana hits the road this weekend to face Virginia.

After a week in which Richard Lagow set a Hoosier record for most passing yards against an Ohio State defense, Indiana fans should have some confidence in the passing game going into the weekend. While Lagow was mostly bottled up in the second half due to a tenacious pass rush, Indiana had still had 5 receivers average over 10 yards per catch against a strong OSU defense.

You can figure that Indiana looks to build on that success against a questionable Virginia secondary.

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