Courtesy: Athlon Sports
Last week in this space, we identified some issues that Indiana might have in the red zone. Looking at IU’s 3.5 points per trip inside the 40 (on 8 attempts) last week, we appear to have hit the nail on the head there.
For this week’s WGOH, I had an article written up about how Indiana will struggle to break big plays in the run game this weekend against MSU’s front 7, especially if Feeney and Camiel are out. This is pretty obvious, as it’s an area where IU’s struggled so far, and MSU’s #1 in rushing defense IsoPPP (a stat measuring the ability to generate (or stop) big plays.) Spoiler alert — if you picked the “over” on Indiana big run plays this week, you might want to reconsider your decision.
But there’s a more interesting topic to discuss this week for Indiana fans. One of the following statements you’ll read will not be a surprise to you, and the other one’s likely to be a big one.
Dealing with injuries, the debut of Tyler Natee and Big Rich making throws (the good ones). It’s Wake Forest Film Study, Offense Edition.
A tough loss to Wake can’t really be laid at the defense’s feet, but Tom Allen’s squad was far from perfect. Let’s take a look.
Courtesy: Mike Dickbernd
Despite Indiana’s loss, the Hoosiers still have a decent shot at a bowl game. Bill Connelly’s numbers have IU with a 78% chance of winning 6+ games. And there is plenty of time to make up ground in our Over/Under game.
If you need a refresher on the rules, go here.
Courtesy: fox sports.com
The Hoosiers may have lost on Saturday, but don’t write off the season yet. Indiana still has very winnable games against Maryland, Rutgers, and Purdue. They could definitely win at Northwestern or against Penn State. Michigan State and Nebraska aren’t out of the realm of possibility. So there’s a lot of season left. Which means a lot of PJP Over/Under games left.
Congrats to 317Kevin, Dan, and CycloneCynergy for 6 correct picks on the week.