PJP Over/Under Game – Rutgers

Courtesy: iuhoosiers.com

After facing the bye a week ago, Indiana is home against a moderately tougher opponent in Rutgers.

1. Most consecutive Penix completions – Over/Under 7.5

Michael Penix notably competed 20 consecutive pass attempts against Michigan State which was a school record and the 2nd longest in conference history. His second longest consecutive completion streak was 8 against Eastern Illinois.  Rutgers is allowing a 61% completion rate, 71st nationally.

2. Indiana rushing touchdowns – Over/Under 1.5

Rutgers has allowed 15 rushing touchdowns on the season, 127th out of 130, including 13 in the last 3 games.  Indiana has 7 on the season with Stevie Scott leading the way with 4.

3. Indiana rushes for a loss by RBs – Over/Under 1.5

Indiana running backs have been tackled for a loss this season slightly more than prior years.  This year, IU running backs have been tackled for a loss 9% of their rushes, up from 7% last year.  Part of that has been facing tough run defenses in Ohio State and Michigan State.  Rutgers is not in that category ranking 104th in rushing yards per carry and 117th in TFLs.

4. Rutgers non-garbage interception rate – Over/Under 5.99%

The quarterback situation at Rutgers is a disaster.  McLane Carter has apparently taking a medical retirement following a concussion earlier this year.  Artur Sitkowski has decided to sit out the rest of the year to redshirt and save a year of eligibility.  That leaves redshirt freshman Johnny Langan as the main man behind center.  He had his first extended playing time against Maryland last week and on the season has completed 14 of 26 passes for 163 yards, 0 TDs, and 2 interceptions.  That 7.7% interception rate is…not good.  It’s nearly twice the rate that Richard Lagow had at Indiana.  On the year, Indiana’s defense has 2 interceptions on 161 pass attempts, or 1.2%.

5. Charles Campbell total points scored – Over/Under 1.5

Indiana’s backup kicker made his debut against Eastern Illinois making an extra point and his only field goal attempt.  If Indiana can generate a large lead late in this one, it’s possible the coaching staff will want to give Campbell more game experience to prepare the redshirt freshman for a larger 2020 role.

6. Indiana winning margin – Over/Under 25.5

Vegas has Indiana as a 25 point favorite.  Bill Connelly at ESPN has Indiana as a 24.5 point favorite.

If you are picking the over, you are picking Indiana to win by 26+ points.  If you are picking the under, you are picking Rutgers to win or lose by 25 points or fewer.

This over/under is worth 2 points.

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Billy