PJP Over/Under Recap – Maryland

Indiana won the game, lost Michael Penix, and is now back in the top 10. Indiana football continues to give us all the emotions.

1. Michael Penix passing yards – Over/Under 319.5 – Actual: 84

Even before his injury knocked him out of the game and ended his season, it was clear that Penix wouldn’t hit the over. The Indiana offense was off most of the game as Penix completed just 6 of 19 passes. The 4.4 passing yards per attempt was the lowest of his career with the previous low coming in the opener against Penn State.

2. Non-QB Indiana rushing yards – Over/Under 119.5 – Actual: 207

Indiana’s rushing game finally broke out against one of the worst rush defenses in the conference. Indiana had 207 yards on 45 non-QB rushes. Obviously, Tim Baldwin stands out with 16 rushes for 106 yards. Those statistics reflect his big play ability. He had 3 rushes for 73 yards with his other 13 rushes going for 33 yards. He ends up with a 31% rushing success rate, which is below average, but you’ll take that when he’s able to gash the defense for chuck plays. Stevie Scott had just 80 yards on 24 carries, but did score 3 touchdowns so he was named the Big Ten’s Offensive Player of the Week. Scott had long rushes of just 17 and 19 yards, but picked up the short yards needed to keep drives moving. He ran on 5 plays of 3rd or 4th down and 1 or 2 to go and picked up 4 of them. His overall rushing success rate was 46%. The pairing of Scott and Baldwin, with Sampson James being somewhere between them in terms of power and explosiveness, seems to fit nicely. David Ellis also added 21 rushing yards on 5 carries with some coming from a direct snap and others in a traditional handoff.

3. Ty Fryfogle receiving yards – Over/Under 199.5 – Actual: 10

All good things must come to an end. Fryfogle saw just 3 targets all game, 2 from Penix and 1 from Tuttle. In all, he managed 2 catches for 10 yards. Even with the off game, Fryfogle is 2nd in the conference in receiving yards per game at nearly 109.

4. Taulia Tagovailoa total offense  – Over/Under 279.5 – Actual: 229

Tagovailoa struggled passing going 17 of 36 for 241 yards with 3 interceptions. He was also sacked 3 times, losing 23 yards, and took a safety. He scrambled a few times, but didn’t do much damage with a long rush of 6 yards. Up next for Indiana is Wisconsin’s Graham Mertz who started off the year like gangbusters against Illinois but was mediocre in their two most recent games. While Indiana will certainly miss having Michael Penix, their defense is good enough to keep the Hoosiers in any game. They showed it in this one as the offense sputtered for over a half.

5. Micah McFadden solo tackles – Over/Under 5.5 – Actual: 3

Tiawan Mullen led Indiana in solo tackles with 4. McFadden was tied with 6 other players with 3 solo tackles. This defense has so many guys that can make a play. Obviously the players at the top get a lot of recognition, but Indiana is so deep on the defensive side of the ball. McFadden also added an interception, his second of the year.

6. Indiana margin of victory – Over/Under 14.5 – Actual: 16

We had to give Maryland some more points, and the Hoosiers were still able to cover. Indiana is 6-0 against the spread this year.

This over/under is worth double.

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